DEC

They are going to slow bleed this thing till the Dec FOMC. If JPow announces no rate cuts, this thing is going to flush down.

I think my HOOD 160 calls for Dec 12th are cooked

SPY 700 by Dec 1 ez money bros

tbh not cutting in dec would be a huge mistake

Bull market doesn’t start till dec 9th

Dec 2nd is where I’m looking. This week should be good + Nvidia earnings coming out

Thinking of buying dec. puts until Santa clause rally if there is one. 

What’s up on Dec 8?

we crabbin till wed. probably until dec 8 actually

Sell goog calls open. Hold? What do. Dec 5 290. Dec 5 300.

305 dec at open or waiting for a dip? need some inspo on my entry tomorrow...

Sell up asap. But google hits 330 EOY. I'm getting 305 for Dec

There is gonna be way more chaos and uncertainty leading up to the Dec FOMC meeting than NVDA earnings, so you may have multiple entry opportunities

MichaeI Burry 10-year "prediction" record (according to Google search): |**Prediction Date**|**Prediction Summary**|**S&P 500 Return 12 Months Later**|**Outcome**| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |Dec 2015|Market crash "within the next few months"|Up 11%+|Early/Incorrect timing| |May 2017|Global financial meltdown|Up 19%+|Early/Incorrect timing| |Sep 2019|Crash due to index ETF bubble|Up 15%+|Early/Incorrect timing| |Feb 2021|Stock market crash/speculative bubble|Up 16%+|Early/Incorrect timing| |Jan 2023|Recession and new round of inflation, "Sell"|Up 17% YTD (at the time)|Early/Incorrect timing|

At this point I don’t believe any of the bullish news coming out, I’m sorry to be a ghey ber but it seems like the Dec rate cuts are a coin flip, the White House is seemingly days away from imploding, and nvda will prob beat earnings.. but this is already factored into the stock.. or is it?

\- GOOGLY up YUGE \- End of QT on Dec 1st \- Something about JPow entertaining QE3 \- Santa Claus Rally \- IV Holiday CRUUUUSHHHH Anything I'm missing?

Not a baggie, but they’ll rise mid Dec.

I mean QT ends on Dec 1st Copium

I've been saying the only way the 'bubble' can pop is if liquidity stops going into the markets... but with FED interest rates going down there should be no problem, even if we don't get Dec cut (which we probably won't) we'll get it in January Anyways🌽to 9.3k eoy

The government data flow should resume next week with the Sep jobs report. For Oct we’ll likely get payrolls but not the u-rate. The Nov jobs data will be complete but delayed. The BLS will probably skip the Oct CPI report. The Nov inflation data could be distorted by Black Friday sales. The data for Oct/Nov might not be released before the Fed’s Dec 10 meeting. Powell has hinted at a hold in this scenario.

peter thiel and masa yoshi son sold all their nvda. rate cut chances have lowered. pelosi retired. 48% of rate cut. man typically nov and dec are chill 😅😂

So currently the market thinks it's 51-55% chance of no rate cuts in dec. I feel like it should be 90% of a rate cut. Liquidity low. Weak labor data. Inflation is 3% (low). Slow gdp growth. The market was just scared with the government shutdown but it's been resolved.

Wanted to buy GOOG after DEC rate cuts are decided, but now that Reddit is hyping it, I guess I'll have to buy puts. :(

Guys, the New York Fed is working with the bank to ensure liquidity, the Fed is flat-out ending QT on Dec 1st, reduced IV with less trading days, Santa Claus Rally, Buffett buying GOOGLY EYES by the assload. Don't be the guy shorting into the hole.

He already has. He's injecting liquidity Dec 1st and confirmed they don't want to wait too long for QE3. Even if economy is strong they will need to he said. >Steve Liesman: if you stop the runoff now, does that mean you have to go back to actually adding assets sometime next year so that the balance sheet doesn't shrink as a percent of GDP? >Powell: So you're right. The the place we'll be on December 1 is that the size of the balance sheet is frozen.... And because the size of the balance sheet is frozen, you have further shrinkage in reserves. And reserves is the thing that we're managing that has to be ample. So that'll happen for a time but not a tremendously long time. We don't know exactly how long but at a certain point you'll want to start to grow reserves, to start gradually growing to keep up with you know the size of the banking system and the size of the economy.

Opposite. If ber has a chance, it's NovemBer. Once Fed starts injecting liquidity Dec 1st they are fucked.

I was up 8k in the first 2 weeks of October but ended up down 1k at the end of the month. I need everyone to buy SPY and save my Dec 16th 710 calls. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

"Yeah we're overdue for a pullback, anyone can see that." Bros, we had our crash this year, in April. We're done for the year. It's uppies from here on out. Santa Claus Rally, fed liquidity on Dec 1st, Buffett buying GOOGLY, holidays reducing IV, etc etc.

More importantly he said QE 3 is coming soon and they're going to start injecting liquidity Dec 1.

Nov - Dec 2024 was sick. There were like 10xs in hours. 

Goog 350 by the start of dec ?

gold really ruined my mood going into this weekend. man i would have been so relaxed if it just held 4200 but no, that motherfucker had to dump. yesterday i was elated to see it hold 4200 and today it dumps 3%. my over leveraged positions for Dec and January are bleeding out. maniac highs and lows driving me nuts

Ending dec. 1

this is the casino sir, all calls couple leaps but most of it is Dec exp

fed aint cutting in Dec. that fucker Miran or whatever the fuck his name is installed by taco is a fuking dubmbass.

I hope he is right but that seems a little aggressive. Maybe by Dec 31

SPY is 700 by Dec 31 or I start sleeping in train stations.

401k hardship withdrawals at a record high and fed doesnt want to cut in Dec clowns

If this bounce stays true today, I’m guessing we got 2-3 days including Sunday before puts are in play. Then we hope for a Santa rally Dec.

Got nvidia 190 calls Dec 26th. Think I’m cooked ?

Last week I clicked the wrong button and sold an OPEN put contract so I have $400 tied up in some bullshit accidentally until Dec 5.

Just gotta get through NovemBer which might be choppy. Dec Fed injects liquidity and increases bond buying. We are good, just need to be patient.

we'll bounce back eventually, as soon as were done pricing in no dec rate cut + AI fud to be forgotten. Unless AI is truely and genuinely a dud, were still fine

Man should've dumped my Dec mstr calls y'day with my orcl da fuk

OK, this Michael Burry news might be one of the greatest (actual) 4d chess moves I've ever seen Wall Street is infamous in its brutality toward market timing signals -- "blood in the street" etc Case in point, back in 2016 when Aubrey McClendon literally died, it was taken as a sign of a major bottom in Nat Gas prices-- (ya, they used his suicide as a signal) So if Burry is as slick as I think he is, he just announced the shutting down of his fund as a masterful bait-and-switch in order to trigger the sell signal that he wanted all along Consider the details of the letter and news: -He's shutting down hedge fund (this gives Wall Street their "blood-in-street" signal / a famous BEAR throws in towel / topping signal for ruthless Wall Street) -He's liquidating fund and returning money to investors "by year-end" -He's opening Family Office to manage his private wealth Nov 25th (doesn't mean the existing fund will be wound down by that date though / he has all of Dec.) ... if the stock averages track my Model and see a nasty decline during this current 4 session window (tracking great so far) -- followed by the worst December performance in the history of the market-- Burry might have just baited WS with a self-serving topping signal that will work HUGELY to his benefit as Wall Street SELLS and pumps his bearish bets over the coming 7 weeks This would allow him to "liquidate" (cover short positions) and take profits in PUTS and actually post a big positive performance number for his fund partners prior to the distribution of their $-- going out on TOP and possibly even creating another book/movie about this gamesmanship Remember that the letter said nothing about huge draw-downs-- it was framed more as a "giving up hope" / "my approach is no longer working" type of letter I think Burry just played them again We shall see As always, good luck

I can't see how there won't be a fed cut in Dec at this rate.

Rate cut odds for dec is still going down lol. No data = no market confidence

Market went down because were repricing dec Fed cut. Odds are now 50-50. If you think they’ll cut you should def buy this dip